<html>
<head>
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1">
<style type="text/css" style="display:none;"><!-- P {margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;} --></style>
</head>
<body dir="ltr">
<div id="divtagdefaultwrapper" style="font-size:12pt;color:#000000;font-family:Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif;" dir="ltr">
<p></p>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Dear Colleagues</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">,</span></font><font face="wf_segoe-ui_normal,Segoe UI,Segoe WP,Tahoma,Arial,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="3" color="#212121"><br>
</font><font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="3" color="#BF5AF2"><br>
</font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">This a kind reminder that </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">next </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">International </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Bayes </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Club </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">(</span></font><a href="https://www.math.vu.nl/thebayesclub/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" id="LPlnk987560" previewremoved="true"><font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span id="LPlnk987560" style="font-size: 16px;"><font face="wf_segoe-ui_normal,Segoe UI,Segoe WP,Tahoma,Arial,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span id="LPlnk987560" style="font-size: 15px;"><font face="Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="3"><span id="LPlnk987560"><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">https://www.math.vu.nl/thebayesclub/</span></font></span></font></span></font></span></font></a><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">)</span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">meeting </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">will
take place <b>tomorrow</b> (<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Friday</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">, </span></font>the </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">21</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">st</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> of
May)<b> </b></span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">from </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">3</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> pm
(CEST)</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">. We have two </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">speakers:
Matteo Giordano </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> </span></font><font size="2" color="black" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">(</span></font><font size="2" color="black" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Cambridge</span></font><font size="2" color="black" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">) </span></font><font size="2" color="black" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">and
Matthew Stephens </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">(</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Chicago</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">)</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">. </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">P</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">lease
find below the titles and the abstracts</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">. </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">After </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">the
talks we will open up our </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> virtual </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">meeting
place at gather.town so if you want to hang out and perhaps have a beer virtually with your colleagues then </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">you </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">are
invited to join. </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">T</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">he
seminar will be on zoom:</span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="3" color="#212121"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><br>
</span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">----------------------------</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">----------------------------</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">----------------------------</span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;">
<div> </div>
<div><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Topic: International Bayes club</span></font></div>
<div><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Time: May 21, 2021 03:00 PM Amsterdam, Berlin, Rome, Stockholm, Vienna</span></font></div>
<div><br>
</div>
<div><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Join Zoom Meeting</span></font></div>
<div><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">https://vu-live.zoom.us/j/95319105586?pwd=MXlIWXIvNjcwQ0k1YzErMlkyTzNZQT09</span></font></div>
<div><br>
</div>
<div><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Meeting ID: 953 1910 5586</span></font></div>
<div><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Passcode: 645009</span></font></div>
<div> </div>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">----------------------------</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">----------------------------</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">----------------------------</span></font><font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="3" color="#212121"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><br>
</span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Link to the meeting place at gather
town:</span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><font size="2" color="#212121"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><br>
</span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;">
<div><a href="https://gather.town/app/4lK8Zj28Ys0WtutP/IBC" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" id="LPlnk32836" previewremoved="true"><font face="Helvetica,serif,EmojiFont" size="3"><span id="LPlnk32836" style="font-size: 20px;"><font color="#1155CC"><span id="LPlnk32836"><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">https://gather.town/app/4lK8Zj28Ys0WtutP/IBC</span></font></span></font></span></font></a></div>
<div><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Password: bayesbayesbayes</span></font></div>
<font size="2" color="#212121"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><br>
</span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">----------------------------</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">----------------------------</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">----------------------------</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><br>
</span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><font size="2" color="#212121"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><br>
</span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">3</span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">pm
Speaker: </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Matteo Giordano </span></font><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">(Cambridge) </span></font><br>
</span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><font size="2" color="black"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><br>
</span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;">
<div> </div>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Title: Nonparametric Bayesian inference for reversible multi-dimensional </span></font><br>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">diffusions</span></font><br>
<br>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Abstract: The talk will present frequentist asymptotic results for </span></font><br>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">nonparametric Bayesian models of reversible multi-dimensional diffusions </span></font><br>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">with periodic drift. Assuming continuous observation paths, </span></font><br>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">reversibility is exploited to prove a general posterior contraction rate </span></font><br>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">theorem for the drift gradient vector field under </span></font><br>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">approximation-theoretic conditions on the induced prior for the </span></font><br>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">invariant measure. The general theorem is applied to Gaussian priors and </span></font><br>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">p-exponential priors, which are shown to converge to the truth at the </span></font><br>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">minimax optimal rate over Sobolev smoothness classes in any dimension.</span></font><br>
<br>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Joint work with Kolyan Ray (Imperial College London).</span></font>
<div> </div>
<br>
</span></font></div>
<font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">------------------------</span></font><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">------------------------</span></font><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">------------------------</span></font><span style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;"></span>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> </span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,Helvetica,EmojiFont,Apple Color Emoji,Segoe UI Emoji,NotoColorEmoji,Segoe UI Symbol,Android Emoji,EmojiSymbols" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br>
</span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">4</span></font><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> </span></font><font size="2" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">pm
Speaker: Matthew Stephens (Chicago)</span></font></span></font></div>
<div style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;">
<font face="Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif,serif,EmojiFont" size="2"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br>
</span></font></div>
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Title: </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">A
simple new approach to variable selection in regression, with</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">application to genetic fine-mapping</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Abstract: </span></font><font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">We
introduce a simple new approach to variable selection in linear</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">regression, and to quantifying uncertainty in selected variables. The</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">approach is based on a new model -- the</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">``Sum of Single Effects'' (SuSiE) model -- which comes from writing</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">the sparse vector of regression coefficients as a sum of</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">``single-effect'' vectors, each with one non-zero element. We also</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">introduce a corresponding new fitting procedure -- Iterative Bayesian</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Stepwise Selection (IBSS) -- which is a Bayesian analogue of stepwise</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">selection methods. IBSS shares the computational simplicity and speed</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">of traditional stepwise methods, but instead of selecting a single</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">variable at each step, IBSS computes a {\it distribution} on variables</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">that captures uncertainty in which variable to select.</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">The method leads to a convenient, novel, way to summarize uncertainty</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">in variable selection, and provides a Credible Set for each selected</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">variable.</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Our methods are particularly well suited to settings where variables</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">are highly correlated and true effects are sparse, both of which are</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">characteristics of genetic fine-mapping applications.</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">We demonstrate through numerical experiments that our methods</span></font><br style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont; font-size: 16px;">
<font size="2" color="#212121" style="font-family: Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif, serif, EmojiFont;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">outperform existing methods for this task.</span></font><br>
<p></p>
</div>
</body>
</html>